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Scenario planning is a technique used to help organizations understand the future by creating a set of plausible scenarios that could unfold. This can be a helpful tool for understanding the potential impacts of changes of climate on an organization's business.

To use scenario planning to understand changes in the climate, organizations need to first define the purpose of the scenario planning effort, determine the key question to be answered and the time frame of the scenarios. Next, an organization would need to identify the key drivers related to changes in the climate. These drivers could include things above/below normal temperatures and above/below precipitation. At this point, the organization can begin to develop a set of scenarios that reflect different possible outcomes of changes in the climate.

The scenarios should be developed in a way that is realistic and considers the full range of potential impacts. The organization should also consider the potential impacts of changes in the climate on its business, including things like its supply chain, operations, and customers.

Once the scenarios have been developed, the organization can begin to assess the risks and opportunities associated with each scenario. This will help the organization to develop a plan to mitigate the risks and capitalize on the opportunities.

Scenario planning is a valuable tool that can help organizations to prepare for the future. By understanding the potential impacts of changes of the climate, organizations can make informed decisions about how to adapt their business.

Modern society has reaped the benefits of weather and climate prediction. However, weather and climate can still be unpredictable and extreme at times, making it difficult for businesses and governments to plan for the future. Scenario planning is a tool that can help organizations to better understand and prepare for these challenges.

What is scenario planning?

Scenario planning is a process of creating and analyzing alternative future scenarios. It is a way of thinking about the future that is not based on predictions or forecasts, but on plausible and internally consistent stories about how the future might unfold.

How can scenario planning be used to help deal with weather and climate?

Scenario planning can be used to help organizations to:

-Understand the potential impacts of weather and changes in the climate on their business or operations.

-Identify and develop strategies to adapt to these impacts.

-Communicate these risks to stakeholders and the public.

How to conduct a scenario planning exercise

There are a number of different ways to conduct a scenario planning exercise. The following steps provide a general overview of the process:

-Identify the key drivers of change. What are the factors that are likely to have the biggest impact on the future of your organization? These could include factors such as changes in the climate, technological change, economic trends, and social changes.

-Develop a set of scenarios. Once you have identified the key drivers of change, you can start to develop a set of scenarios. Each scenario should be a plausible and internally consistent story about how the future might unfold.

-Analyze the scenarios. Once you have developed a set of scenarios, you need to analyze them. This involves looking at the potential impacts of each scenario on your organization.

-Develop strategies. Once you have analyzed the scenarios, you can start to develop strategies to adapt to the impacts of weather and changes in the climate.

-Communicate the results. Once you have developed strategies, you need to communicate the results of your scenario planning exercise to your stakeholders and the public.

Scenario planning is a valuable tool that can help organizations to better understand and prepare for the challenges of weather and changes in the climate. By following the steps outlined above, you can conduct a scenario planning exercise that will help you to develop strategies to adapt to the impacts of weather and changes in the climate.

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An overview of WeatherStrategy LLC....about us, our value and the problems we solve. 

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Drought can have a significant impact on people, animals and agriculture. The lack of rain/precipitation can also cause temperatures to be above normal in most cases.

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Without adaptations like air conditioning, heatwaves can be very impactful to human health. Heatwaves can also impact the cost of energy and extended heatwaves can tax energy generation. The impact to agriculture (plants and animals) can be devastating.

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Cold spells with significantly below normal temperatures can impact many businesses and organizations. This overview discusses cold spells in general and their impact.

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Weather happens at many different scales. Cold fronts, high pressure systems, low pressure systems and warm fronts are examples of synoptic scale systems. What do you look out for regarding synoptic scale weather events?

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This is a brief overview of the different types of weather hazards that could affect your business or organization.

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If you live in an area where it can be very cold during the Winter, you might find yourself with dry, cracked skin on your hands especially if you do a lot of hand washing. The dry, cracked skin can end up bleeding and/or feeling sore. This is because the relative humidity in your house or building may be below 40%. While many people use cream and/or moisturizers you may want to also look at purchasing a humidifier.

The most comfortable relative humidity range is around 40% to 60%. In fact, keeping the relative humidity in this range will also help with your respiratory system and lower the threat from the flu and other ailments including allergies. Most businesses/office buildings handle (or should) this 40% to 60% range with their HVAC system. Most houses where Winter can be very cold, don’t.

So how does the relative humidity get below 40% in your house? Outside air will seep into your house through open doors, through seams in the windows and through other methods. The dry air (measured with dew points) outside can be very low (minus single digits to 20s Fahrenheit). Bring that dry air into a house with temperatures in the 60s or low 70s and you can end up with low relative humidity readings in the 20% to 40% range (or even lower). Relative humidity readings below 40% can exacerbate dry, cracked skin. While creams and moisturizers can help, utilizing a humidifier can help increase the relative humidity and make your skin less dry and thus less cracked. A humidifier can also reduce static electricity and slow the drying out of furniture and cabinets. Humidifiers can be found at many retailers this time of the year.